Subiza 2-3 SD Logrones — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
12%
X/X
22%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+1.5pp
34%
Draw
28%
+5.1pp
38%
Away Win
45%
-6.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.7pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Subiza EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY SD Logrones EU Bookmakers 49%
-40% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
0.00/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-100% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% /
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Subiza
2-3
AWAY SD Logrones
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 26
8 Shots on Target 11
5 Corners 5
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Subiza vs SD Logrones
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SD Logrones squeezed past Subiza 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 28% / 34% / 38% — and on the day SD Logrones made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Subiza had 51% of the ball to SD Logrones's 49%, shots finished 16-26.

What was the final score of Subiza vs SD Logrones?

Subiza 2-3 SD Logrones in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Subiza vs SD Logrones?

Before kick-off our model rated an SD Logrones win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Subiza 28%, draw 34%, SD Logrones 38%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SD Logrones) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SD Logrones) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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