Wil 1900 2-2 Stade Ouchy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.82
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
3.21
6+ Goals
11%
11.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.0pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wil 1900 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Ouchy EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
1.41/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/2.11
+18% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
18.1 Crosses 14.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wil 1900
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Stade Ouchy
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.27 xG 0.46
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
319 Passes 348
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
9 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 4
20.09.2024 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 0-0 HT 0-0 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
15.09.2023 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 1-1 HT 0-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSVK
28.04.2023 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 1-2 HT 1-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
12.02.2023 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 3-4 HT 1-3 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
26.11.2022 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 0-0 HT 0-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
23.07.2022 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 2-1 HT 1-1 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wil 1900
2-2
AWAY Stade Ouchy
0.86 xG 0.95
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
321 Passes 301
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
5 Box Touches 31
13 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wil 1900 vs Stade Ouchy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wil 1900 and Stade Ouchy shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Wil 1900 had 51% of the ball to Stade Ouchy's 49%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.86 to 0.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stade Ouchy led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Wil 1900 and 1.33 for Stade Ouchy.

What was the final score of Wil 1900 vs Stade Ouchy?

Wil 1900 2-2 Stade Ouchy in the Switzerland Challenge League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wil 1900 vs Stade Ouchy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wil 1900 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Wil 1900 40%, draw 27%, Stade Ouchy 33%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wil 1900) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wil 1900) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSV2 More Switzerland Challenge League
5 Oct 2024
19:00 Aarau vs Vaduz Analysis →