Aarau 0-0 Vaduz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 5 Oct 2024

Aarau
0-0 HT 0-0
Vaduz
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.51
Over 2.5
51%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.43
No
47%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.44
2-3 Goals
39%
2.0
4-5 Goals
24%
2.67
6+ Goals
11%
6.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-4.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
36%
+12.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
64%
-12.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
66%
-12.6pp
47%
BTTS No
34%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aarau EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Vaduz EU Bookmakers 34%
-13% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -4%
1.06/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.17
-18% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
311 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 76%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
12.7 Crosses 14.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aarau
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Vaduz
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.70 xG 1.27
52% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
342 Passes 302
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2024 Vaduz Vaduz 2-5 HT 2-3 Aarau Aarau İSV2
03.05.2024 Vaduz Vaduz 2-1 HT 0-0 Aarau Aarau İSV2
26.01.2024 Aarau Aarau 1-0 HT 0-0 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
22.10.2023 Vaduz Vaduz 2-2 HT 1-2 Aarau Aarau İSV2
25.09.2023 Aarau Aarau 3-2 HT 1-2 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
14.05.2023 Vaduz Vaduz 0-1 HT 0-0 Aarau Aarau İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aarau
0-0
AWAY Vaduz
0.77 xG 0.96
67% Ball Possession 33%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
442 Passes 163
81% Pass Accuracy 61%
27 Box Touches 10
32 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Aarau vs Vaduz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aarau and Vaduz fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Aarau at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Aarau had 67% of the ball to Vaduz's 33%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 0.77 to 0.96.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aarau had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Aarau and 1.33 for Vaduz.

What was the final score of Aarau vs Vaduz?

Aarau 0-0 Vaduz in the Switzerland Challenge League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aarau vs Vaduz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aarau win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Aarau 41%, draw 25%, Vaduz 33%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aarau) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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