Cesena U20 1-1 Cagliari U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
43%
Away Win
44%
-1.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-4.8pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cesena U20 EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Cagliari U20 EU Bookmakers 48%
-43% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+31% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
272 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cesena U20
1-1
AWAY Cagliari U20
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cesena U20 vs Cagliari U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cesena U20 and Cagliari U20 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Cagliari U20 at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Cesena U20 had 44% of the ball to Cagliari U20's 56%, shots finished 12-19.

What was the final score of Cesena U20 vs Cagliari U20?

Cesena U20 1-1 Cagliari U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cesena U20 vs Cagliari U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cagliari U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cesena U20 32%, draw 25%, Cagliari U20 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cagliari U20), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cagliari U20) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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