Roma U20 1-1 Lecce U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.38
Over 2.5
57%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-1.6pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.5pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roma U20 EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Lecce U20 EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +57%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roma U20
1-1
AWAY Lecce U20
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Roma U20 vs Lecce U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roma U20 and Lecce U20 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Roma U20 at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Roma U20 had 57% of the ball to Lecce U20's 43%, shots finished 13-13.

What was the final score of Roma U20 vs Lecce U20?

Roma U20 1-1 Lecce U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roma U20 vs Lecce U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roma U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Roma U20 46%, draw 23%, Lecce U20 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Roma U20), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Roma U20) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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