Fiorentina (K) 3-1 Como (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
30%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.23
Over 2.5
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
62%
-14.2pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.5pp
30%
Away Win
17%
+12.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.3pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina (K) EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Como (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
2.46/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/2.01
+33% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -20%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
346 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 71%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
26.4 Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorentina (K)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Como (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.87 xG 1.37
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 1
424 Passes 286
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
31 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.02.2024 Como (K) Como (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
18.11.2023 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 3-0 HT 0-0 Como (K) Como (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorentina (K)
3-1
AWAY Como (K)
1.61 xG 1.21
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
260 Passes 318
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 34
14 Crosses 26
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fiorentina (K) vs Como (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina (K) saw off Como (K) 3-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fiorentina (K) as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Fiorentina (K) had 45% of the ball to Como (K)'s 55%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.61 to 1.21.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fiorentina (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Fiorentina (K) and 0.00 for Como (K).

What was the final score of Fiorentina (K) vs Como (K)?

Fiorentina (K) 3-1 Como (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina (K) vs Como (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina (K) 48%, draw 22%, Como (K) 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fiorentina (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İTKSA More Italya - Women's Serie A
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