Inter Milano (K) 1-1 Roma (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
54%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.59
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.39
No
45%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
34%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
34%
-10.2pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.9pp
54%
Away Win
43%
+11.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
68%
-12.8pp
45%
BTTS No
32%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Milano (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Roma (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -28%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
348 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 452 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.0
Crosses 32.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Milano (K)
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Roma (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.33 xG 1.54
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 9
301 Passes 334
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 36
8 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.05.2024 Roma (K) Roma (K) 4-3 HT 2-3 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) İTKSA
29.03.2024 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Roma (K) Roma (K) İTKSA
20.01.2024 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Roma (K) Roma (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Milano (K)
1-1
AWAY Roma (K)
1.98 xG 1.28
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 5
317 Passes 369
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 43
20 Crosses 28
POST-MATCH Inter Milano (K) vs Roma (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Milano (K) and Roma (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Roma (K) at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Inter Milano (K) had 46% of the ball to Roma (K)'s 54%, shots finished 14-21, expected goals 1.98 to 1.28.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Roma (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Inter Milano (K) and 2.00 for Roma (K).

What was the final score of Inter Milano (K) vs Roma (K)?

Inter Milano (K) 1-1 Roma (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Milano (K) vs Roma (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roma (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Inter Milano (K) 23%, draw 22%, Roma (K) 54%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Roma (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Roma (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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