Freiburg (K) 3-0 Turbine Potsdam (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 5 Oct 2024

Freiburg (K)
3-0 HT 2-0
Turbine Potsdam (K)
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✓
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Freiburg (K) vs Turbine Potsdam (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.32
Draw
24%
4.81
Away
16%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.33
Over 2.5
55%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
71%
-11.2pp
24%
Draw
18%
+6.3pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+4.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
39%
+6.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
61%
-6.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Freiburg (K) v Turbine Potsdam (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Freiburg (K) EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Turbine Potsdam (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.88/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.27/2.06
-67% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +56%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
479 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
39.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.0
26.4 Crosses 8.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.0

Freiburg (K) 3-0 Turbine Potsdam (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Freiburg (K)
3-0
AWAY Turbine Potsdam (K)
1.03 xG 0.42
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
463 Passes 201
82% Pass Accuracy 67%
22 Box Touches 14
10 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Freiburg (K) vs Turbine Potsdam (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Freiburg (K) ran out comfortable winners over Turbine Potsdam (K) 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Freiburg (K) as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Freiburg (K) had 66% of the ball to Turbine Potsdam (K)'s 34%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.03 to 0.42.

What was the final score of Freiburg (K) vs Turbine Potsdam (K)?

Freiburg (K) 3-0 Turbine Potsdam (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Freiburg (K) vs Turbine Potsdam (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Freiburg (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Freiburg (K) 60%, draw 24%, Turbine Potsdam (K) 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Freiburg (K)), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Freiburg (K)) ✓ Over 2.5
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