Sabah 1-1 Araz Nahçıvan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 5 Oct 2024

Sabah
1-1 HT 1-1
Araz Nahçıvan
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2024/2025

Sabah vs Araz Nahçıvan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
6%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.9pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.5pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.5pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sabah v Araz Nahçıvan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sabah EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Araz Nahçıvan EU Bookmakers 22%
-4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.87/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.42
+10% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards –

Sabah vs Araz Nahçıvan Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sabah
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Araz Nahçıvan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
02.03.2024 Sabah Sabah 2-0 HT 0-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
15.12.2023 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 2-0 HT 1-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
07.10.2023 Sabah Sabah 1-1 HT 0-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
POST-MATCH Sabah vs Araz Nahçıvan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sabah and Araz Nahçıvan couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sabah at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sabah and 1.00 for Araz Nahçıvan.

What was the final score of Sabah vs Araz Nahçıvan?

Sabah 1-1 Araz Nahçıvan in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sabah vs Araz Nahçıvan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sabah win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sabah 48%, draw 29%, Araz Nahçıvan 23%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sabah) ✗ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
5 Oct 2024
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