Sebail FK 2-0 Shamakhi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 5 Oct 2024

Sebail FK
2-0 HT 1-0
Shamakhi
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2025/2026

Sebail FK vs Shamakhi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+2.7pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.0pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.5pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sebail FK v Shamakhi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sebail FK EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamakhi EU Bookmakers 37%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -20%
0.93/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.34
-27% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
352 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6

Sebail FK vs Shamakhi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sebail FK
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Shamakhi
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.12.2023 Sebail FK Sebail FK 6-0 HT 2-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERK
26.01.2023 Shamakhi Shamakhi 2-1 HT 0-1 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
23.10.2022 Sebail FK Sebail FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
19.08.2022 Shamakhi Shamakhi 1-1 HT 0-1 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
03.05.2022 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-0 HT 0-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
12.03.2022 Sebail FK Sebail FK 0-3 HT 0-2 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
POST-MATCH Sebail FK vs Shamakhi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sebail FK saw off Shamakhi 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sebail FK as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamakhi led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sebail FK and 1.00 for Shamakhi.

What was the final score of Sebail FK vs Shamakhi?

Sebail FK 2-0 Shamakhi in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sebail FK vs Shamakhi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sebail FK win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sebail FK 43%, draw 23%, Shamakhi 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sebail FK), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sebail FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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