Al Fujairah 2-2 Al Thaid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
32%
3.72
Away
20%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-9.3pp
32%
Draw
24%
+8.7pp
20%
Away Win
20%
+0.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.6pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Fujairah EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Thaid EU Bookmakers 23%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.76/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.71
-7% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
374 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Fujairah
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Thaid
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.05.2024 Al Fujairah Al Fujairah 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
21.01.2024 Al Thaid Al Thaid 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Fujairah Al Fujairah BAE2
08.01.2023 Al Fujairah Al Fujairah 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
13.03.2022 Al Fujairah Al Fujairah 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
26.11.2021 Al Thaid Al Thaid 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Fujairah Al Fujairah BAE2
POST-MATCH Al Fujairah vs Al Thaid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Fujairah and Al Thaid couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Fujairah at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Fujairah had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Al Fujairah and 0.80 for Al Thaid.

What was the final score of Al Fujairah vs Al Thaid?

Al Fujairah 2-2 Al Thaid in the UAE - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Fujairah vs Al Thaid?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Fujairah win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Al Fujairah 47%, draw 32%, Al Thaid 20%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Fujairah), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Fujairah) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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