Al Fujairah 2-1 Al Thaid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 30 May 2024

📅30/05/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
18%
3.94
Away
32%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
6%
2/1
14%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
59%
-9.1pp
18%
Draw
22%
-4.1pp
32%
Away Win
19%
+13.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+3.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.7pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Fujairah EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Thaid EU Bookmakers 22%
-9% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.88/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.71
-5% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Fujairah
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Thaid
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.01.2024 Al Thaid Al Thaid 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Fujairah Al Fujairah BAE2
08.01.2023 Al Fujairah Al Fujairah 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
13.03.2022 Al Fujairah Al Fujairah 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
26.11.2021 Al Thaid Al Thaid 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Fujairah Al Fujairah BAE2
POST-MATCH Al Fujairah vs Al Thaid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Fujairah edged past Al Thaid 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Fujairah as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Fujairah had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Fujairah and 0.75 for Al Thaid.

What was the final score of Al Fujairah vs Al Thaid?

Al Fujairah 2-1 Al Thaid in the UAE - 1st Division on 30/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Fujairah vs Al Thaid?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Fujairah win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Al Fujairah 50%, draw 18%, Al Thaid 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Fujairah), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Fujairah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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