Al Jazira Al Hamra 3-2 Gulf Heroes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 30 May 2024

📅30/05/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.25
Draw
34%
3.54
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.59
Over 2.5
66%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.39
No
34%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
6%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
40%
-8.1pp
34%
Draw
24%
+9.6pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-1.4pp
34%
Under 2.5
35%
-0.5pp
66%
Over 2.5
65%
+0.5pp
66%
BTTS Yes
68%
-2.1pp
34%
BTTS No
32%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Jazira Al Hamra EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Gulf Heroes EU Bookmakers 39%
+14% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.05/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.55
+58% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Jazira Al Hamra
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Gulf Heroes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
20.01.2024 Gulf Heroes 1-0 Al Jazira Al Hamra Al Jazira Al Hamra BAE2
26.03.2023 Al Jazira Al Hamra Al Jazira Al Hamra 2-2 HT 1-0 Gulf Heroes BAE2
13.11.2022 Gulf Heroes 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Jazira Al Hamra Al Jazira Al Hamra BAE2
22.01.2022 Gulf Heroes 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Jazira Al Hamra Al Jazira Al Hamra BAE2
POST-MATCH Al Jazira Al Hamra vs Gulf Heroes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Jazira Al Hamra edged past Gulf Heroes 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 34% / 34% — and on the day Al Jazira Al Hamra made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (66%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Gulf Heroes led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Jazira Al Hamra and 1.25 for Gulf Heroes.

What was the final score of Al Jazira Al Hamra vs Gulf Heroes?

Al Jazira Al Hamra 3-2 Gulf Heroes in the UAE - 1st Division on 30/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Jazira Al Hamra vs Gulf Heroes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gulf Heroes win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Al Jazira Al Hamra 32%, draw 34%, Gulf Heroes 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (32/34/34) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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