Arabi 2-2 Al Urooba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 30 May 2024

📅30/05/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.32
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
52%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.23
Over 2.5
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
26%
-0.1pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.2pp
51%
Away Win
48%
+3.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.6pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arabi EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Urooba EU Bookmakers 52%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.54/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.17
+30% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +4%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
274 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arabi
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Urooba
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.01.2024 Al Urooba Al Urooba 2-0 Arabi BAE2
15.04.2023 Al Urooba Al Urooba 0-3 HT 0-2 Arabi BAE2
16.12.2022 Arabi 3-7 HT 2-3 Al Urooba Al Urooba BAE2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arabi
2-2
AWAY Al Urooba
59% Ball Possession 41%
5 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arabi vs Al Urooba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arabi and Al Urooba couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match lean was Al Urooba at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Arabi had 59% of the ball to Al Urooba's 41%, shots finished 5-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Urooba led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Arabi and 3.00 for Al Urooba.

What was the final score of Arabi vs Al Urooba?

Arabi 2-2 Al Urooba in the UAE - 1st Division on 30/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arabi vs Al Urooba?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Urooba win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Arabi 26%, draw 22%, Al Urooba 51%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Urooba), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Urooba) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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