Al Urooba 2-0 Arabi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
34%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-7.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+8.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.0pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Urooba EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Arabi EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.75/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.60
+7% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
389 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Urooba
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Arabi
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.04.2023 Al Urooba Al Urooba 0-3 HT 0-2 Arabi BAE2
16.12.2022 Arabi 3-7 HT 2-3 Al Urooba Al Urooba BAE2
POST-MATCH Al Urooba vs Arabi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Urooba got the better of Arabi 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Urooba as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Al Urooba and 3.00 for Arabi.

What was the final score of Al Urooba vs Arabi?

Al Urooba 2-0 Arabi in the UAE - 1st Division on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Urooba vs Arabi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Urooba win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Urooba 41%, draw 25%, Arabi 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Urooba) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Urooba) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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