Gulf Heroes 1-0 Al Jazira Al Hamra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒16:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.46
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+4.7pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.7pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-1.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.9pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gulf Heroes EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Jazira Al Hamra EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.09/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.58
+61% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
272 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gulf Heroes
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Al Jazira Al Hamra
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
26.03.2023 Al Jazira Al Hamra Al Jazira Al Hamra 2-2 HT 1-0 Gulf Heroes BAE2
13.11.2022 Gulf Heroes 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Jazira Al Hamra Al Jazira Al Hamra BAE2
22.01.2022 Gulf Heroes 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Jazira Al Hamra Al Jazira Al Hamra BAE2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gulf Heroes
1-0
AWAY Al Jazira Al Hamra
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gulf Heroes vs Al Jazira Al Hamra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gulf Heroes squeezed past Al Jazira Al Hamra 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gulf Heroes as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gulf Heroes had 50% of the ball to Al Jazira Al Hamra's 50%, shots finished 11-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gulf Heroes and 1.33 for Al Jazira Al Hamra.

What was the final score of Gulf Heroes vs Al Jazira Al Hamra?

Gulf Heroes 1-0 Al Jazira Al Hamra in the UAE - 1st Division on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gulf Heroes vs Al Jazira Al Hamra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gulf Heroes win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gulf Heroes 42%, draw 22%, Al Jazira Al Hamra 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gulf Heroes) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gulf Heroes) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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