Al Wasl Dubai 3-4 Khorfakkan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.28
Draw
23%
5.28
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.96
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
7.0
2-3 Goals
36%
2.19
4-5 Goals
29%
2.46
6+ Goals
15%
4.84
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
74%
-12.0pp
23%
Draw
16%
+6.7pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+5.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wasl Dubai EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Khorfakkan EU Bookmakers 14%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -8%
1.94/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.84
-4% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -18%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
427 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 75%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
21.4 Crosses 13.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wasl Dubai
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Khorfakkan
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.88 xG 1.05
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
491 Passes 242
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
30 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai 3-0 HT 0-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
30.09.2023 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 3-3 HT 0-3 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai BAE
11.05.2023 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 1-5 HT 0-2 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai BAE
22.01.2023 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai 3-0 HT 2-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
25.11.2022 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai 0-4 HT 0-2 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAELK
12.10.2022 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 2-3 HT 1-1 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai BAELK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wasl Dubai
3-4
AWAY Khorfakkan
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Al Wasl Dubai vs Khorfakkan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khorfakkan squeezed past Al Wasl Dubai 4-3 away from home. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Al Wasl Dubai at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Al Wasl Dubai had 43% of the ball to Khorfakkan's 57%, shots finished 13-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Wasl Dubai had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Al Wasl Dubai and 1.67 for Khorfakkan.

What was the final score of Al Wasl Dubai vs Khorfakkan?

Al Wasl Dubai 3-4 Khorfakkan in the UAE - League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wasl Dubai vs Khorfakkan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Wasl Dubai win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Al Wasl Dubai 62%, draw 23%, Khorfakkan 16%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Wasl Dubai) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Wasl Dubai) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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