FC Fredericia 1-2 AC Horsens — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 5 Oct 2024

FC Fredericia
1-2 HT 1-0
AC Horsens
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
Denmark 1st Division – 2024/2025

FC Fredericia vs AC Horsens Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
48%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
2.89
Over Pick
60%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.41
No
43%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1
24%
6.55
2-3
35%
2.14
4-5
28%
2.5
6+
13%
5.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.56
1/2
11%
19.2
1/X
8%
13.7
X/1
9%
9.09
X/2
14%
4.6
X/X
11%
6.68
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.2
2/X
6%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 60% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+3.1pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.5pp
47%
Away Win
53%
-5.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
31%
+9.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
69%
-9.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
67%
-9.9pp
43%
BTTS No
33%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Fredericia v AC Horsens — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Fredericia EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY AC Horsens EU Bookmakers 57%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.31/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.48/0.75
+12% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +106%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
328 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 77%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 38.2
14.2 Crosses 25.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8

FC Fredericia vs AC Horsens Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Fredericia
2W-2D-2L
AWAY AC Horsens
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.04 xG 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
412 Passes 315
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.07.2024 AC Horsens AC Horsens 1-3 HT 1-0 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1
10.11.2023 AC Horsens AC Horsens 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1
22.08.2023 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 2-0 HT 1-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN1
23.05.2022 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 0-4 HT 0-2 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN1
10.04.2022 AC Horsens AC Horsens 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1
03.12.2021 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 0-2 HT 0-2 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN1

FC Fredericia 1-2 AC Horsens — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Fredericia
1-2
AWAY AC Horsens
0.26 xG 1.80
44% Ball Possession 56%
4 Total Shots 24
1 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 8
274 Passes 366
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 54
16 Crosses 37
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Fredericia vs AC Horsens
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AC Horsens nicked a narrow win over FC Fredericia 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AC Horsens as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, FC Fredericia had 44% of the ball to AC Horsens's 56%, shots finished 4-24, expected goals 0.26 to 1.80 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold AC Horsens's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Fredericia and 1.33 for AC Horsens.

What was the final score of FC Fredericia vs AC Horsens?

FC Fredericia 1-2 AC Horsens in the Denmark 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Fredericia vs AC Horsens?

Before kick-off our model rated an AC Horsens win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split FC Fredericia 28%, draw 24%, AC Horsens 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AC Horsens), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AC Horsens) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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