Guingamp (K) 0-1 FC Nantes (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.48
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
57%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.03
Over 2.5
61%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.75
No
37%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
5%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
36%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
19%
-0.5pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.5pp
57%
Away Win
58%
-1.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
45%
-6.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
55%
+6.0pp
63%
BTTS Yes
53%
+9.5pp
37%
BTTS No
47%
-9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guingamp (K) EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Nantes (K) EU Bookmakers 62%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+0% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 81%
13.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.2 Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guingamp (K)
0-1
AWAY FC Nantes (K)
0.30 xG 1.05
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 6
262 Passes 373
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
8 Box Touches 13
4 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Guingamp (K) vs FC Nantes (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Nantes (K) squeezed past Guingamp (K) 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Nantes (K) as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Guingamp (K) had 42% of the ball to FC Nantes (K)'s 58%, shots finished 7-8, expected goals 0.30 to 1.05.

What was the final score of Guingamp (K) vs FC Nantes (K)?

Guingamp (K) 0-1 FC Nantes (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guingamp (K) vs FC Nantes (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Nantes (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Guingamp (K) 19%, draw 25%, FC Nantes (K) 57%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Nantes (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Nantes (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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