Lyon (K) 4-0 Montpellier (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.11
Draw
18%
8.78
Away
10%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
52%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
3%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
85%
-12.9pp
18%
Draw
8%
+9.3pp
10%
Away Win
6%
+3.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.9pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lyon (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Montpellier (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
3.58/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.00
-7% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +13%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
425 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 75%
42.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.7 Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lyon (K)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Montpellier (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
3.14 xG 1.16
63% Ball Possession 37%
22 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
462 Passes 214
83% Pass Accuracy 68%
27 Box Touches 6
29 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.01.2024 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) 1-2 HT 1-2 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) FRK1
14.01.2024 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) 4-0 HT 2-0 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) FRKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lyon (K)
4-0
AWAY Montpellier (K)
4.57 xG 0.03
68% Ball Possession 32%
30 Total Shots 2
14 Shots on Target 0
11 Corners 0
512 Passes 197
86% Pass Accuracy 68%
53 Box Touches 3
41 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lyon (K) vs Montpellier (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyon (K) ran out comfortable winners over Montpellier (K) 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lyon (K) as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Lyon (K) had 68% of the ball to Montpellier (K)'s 32%, shots finished 30-2, expected goals 4.57 to 0.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lyon (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Lyon (K) and 0.50 for Montpellier (K).

What was the final score of Lyon (K) vs Montpellier (K)?

Lyon (K) 4-0 Montpellier (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lyon (K) vs Montpellier (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lyon (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Lyon (K) 72%, draw 18%, Montpellier (K) 10%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyon (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lyon (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FRK1 More France - Women's 1st Divisioni
5 Oct 2024
15:00 Saint-Étienne (K) vs Paris FC (K) Analysis →
18:00 Stade de Reims (K) vs Dijon (K) Analysis →
18:00 Strasbourg (K) vs Fleury 91 (K) Analysis →
18:00 Guingamp (K) vs FC Nantes (K) Analysis →