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Montpellier (K) vs Lyon (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Montpellier (K) v Lyon (K) — Team-Based Signals
Montpellier (K) vs Lyon (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
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Montpellier (K) 1-2 Lyon (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Lyon (K) edged past Montpellier (K) 2-1 away from home.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lyon (K) as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Montpellier (K) had 36% of the ball to Lyon (K)'s 64%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 1.16 to 3.14 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Lyon (K)'s control.
What was the final score of Montpellier (K) vs Lyon (K)?
Montpellier (K) 1-2 Lyon (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Montpellier (K) vs Lyon (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lyon (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Montpellier (K) 18%, draw 22%, Lyon (K) 60%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyon (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.