Saint-Étienne (K) 1-0 Fleury 91 (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 21 Jan 2024

Saint-Étienne (K)
1-0 HT 1-0
Fleury 91 (K)
📅21/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
France - Women's 1st Divisioni – 2023/2024

Saint-Étienne (K) vs Fleury 91 (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.13
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
55%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
22%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
21%
+2.0pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.5pp
55%
Away Win
57%
-2.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.3pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Saint-Étienne (K) v Fleury 91 (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saint-Étienne (K) EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Fleury 91 (K) EU Bookmakers 62%
+59% / +59% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 5.00/0.00
– / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / –
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
256 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37.0
– Crosses 25.0
– Yellow Cards 0.0

Saint-Étienne (K) 1-0 Fleury 91 (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saint-Étienne (K)
1-0
AWAY Fleury 91 (K)
1.18 xG 0.68
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 6
177 Passes 340
62% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Saint-Étienne (K) vs Fleury 91 (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saint-Étienne (K) edged past Fleury 91 (K) 1-0.

This one beat our numbers. Fleury 91 (K) carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Saint-Étienne (K) had 39% of the ball to Fleury 91 (K)'s 61%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 1.18 to 0.68.

What was the final score of Saint-Étienne (K) vs Fleury 91 (K)?

Saint-Étienne (K) 1-0 Fleury 91 (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saint-Étienne (K) vs Fleury 91 (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fleury 91 (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Saint-Étienne (K) 23%, draw 22%, Fleury 91 (K) 55%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Fleury 91 (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fleury 91 (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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