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Saint-Étienne (K) vs Paris FC (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Saint-Étienne (K) v Paris FC (K) — Team-Based Signals
Saint-Étienne (K) vs Paris FC (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
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HT 1-3
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Paris FC (K)
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Saint-Étienne (K) 1-0 Paris FC (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Saint-Étienne (K) squeezed past Paris FC (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Paris FC (K) at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Saint-Étienne (K) had 39% of the ball to Paris FC (K)'s 61%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 0.92 to 1.43 — the balance of chances actually favoured Paris FC (K).
What was the final score of Saint-Étienne (K) vs Paris FC (K)?
Saint-Étienne (K) 1-0 Paris FC (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Saint-Étienne (K) vs Paris FC (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Paris FC (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Saint-Étienne (K) 19%, draw 19%, Paris FC (K) 62%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.