Southern District RSA 2-0 North District — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
24%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.51
Over 2.5
50%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-11.7pp
21%
Draw
19%
+1.7pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+10.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
36%
+13.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
64%
-13.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.4pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southern District RSA EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY North District EU Bookmakers 17%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.50/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/2.65
-25% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -33%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
428 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southern District RSA
1W-1D-0L
AWAY North District
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.03.2024 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 2-2 HT 0-1 North District North District HK1
24.12.2023 North District North District 1-2 HT 1-2 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southern District RSA
2-0
AWAY North District
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Southern District RSA vs North District
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southern District RSA beat North District 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Southern District RSA as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Southern District RSA had 55% of the ball to North District's 45%, shots finished 15-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Southern District RSA had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Southern District RSA and 1.50 for North District.

What was the final score of Southern District RSA vs North District?

Southern District RSA 2-0 North District in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southern District RSA vs North District?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southern District RSA win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Southern District RSA 55%, draw 21%, North District 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southern District RSA), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Southern District RSA) ✓ BTTS No
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