Southern District RSA 2-2 North District — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.45
Draw
16%
4.34
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.43
Over 2.5
55%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
64%
-4.2pp
16%
Draw
20%
-3.4pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.2pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southern District RSA EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY North District EU Bookmakers 19%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.50/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.98
-26% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -39%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southern District RSA
1W-0D-0L
AWAY North District
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
24.12.2023 North District North District 1-2 HT 1-2 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
POST-MATCH Southern District RSA vs North District
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southern District RSA and North District shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Southern District RSA carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Southern District RSA vs North District?

Southern District RSA 2-2 North District in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southern District RSA vs North District?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southern District RSA win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Southern District RSA 60%, draw 16%, North District 23%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Southern District RSA), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Southern District RSA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HK1 More Hong Kong - Premier League
16 Mar 2024
10:00 Hong Kong Rangers vs Resources Capital FC Analysis →
13:00 Eastern vs Lee Man Analysis →