Eastern 1-1 Lee Man — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.69
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
50%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+4.2pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.3pp
50%
Away Win
53%
-2.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.8pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastern EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Lee Man EU Bookmakers 57%
-43% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.23/0.63
-100% / +96% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +83%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
292 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastern
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Lee Man
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.11 xG 0.85
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
157 Passes 252
68% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Lee Man Lee Man 1-1 HT 0-0 Eastern Eastern HK1
18.03.2023 Lee Man Lee Man 1-1 HT 1-0 Eastern Eastern HK1
19.11.2022 Eastern Eastern 0-1 HT 0-1 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
24.06.2022 Lee Man Lee Man 1-3 HT 1-2 Eastern Eastern AFCC
25.12.2021 Lee Man Lee Man 0-1 HT 0-1 Eastern Eastern HONFK
17.04.2021 Eastern Eastern 3-2 HT 0-2 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastern
1-1
AWAY Lee Man
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Eastern vs Lee Man
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastern and Lee Man couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Lee Man at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Eastern had 47% of the ball to Lee Man's 53%, shots finished 9-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eastern had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Eastern and 1.00 for Lee Man.

What was the final score of Eastern vs Lee Man?

Eastern 1-1 Lee Man in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastern vs Lee Man?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lee Man win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Eastern 28%, draw 22%, Lee Man 50%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lee Man) ✗ Over 2.5
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