Municipal Liberia 2-3 Santa Ana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.57
Draw
32%
3.94
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.73
No
41%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
60%
-15.1pp
32%
Draw
22%
+9.9pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
54%
+5.6pp
41%
BTTS No
46%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Ana EU Bookmakers 21%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.90/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.97
-5% / +98% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
390 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Liberia
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Santa Ana
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
76% Ball Possession 24%
1 Total Shots 1
0 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
31.08.2024 Santa Ana 2-1 HT 1-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal Liberia
2-3
AWAY Santa Ana
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Municipal Liberia vs Santa Ana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Ana edged past Municipal Liberia 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Municipal Liberia at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Municipal Liberia had 64% of the ball to Santa Ana's 36%, shots finished 18-11.

What was the final score of Municipal Liberia vs Santa Ana?

Municipal Liberia 2-3 Santa Ana in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Liberia vs Santa Ana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal Liberia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Municipal Liberia 45%, draw 32%, Santa Ana 23%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Municipal Liberia), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Municipal Liberia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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