Santa Ana 2-1 Municipal Liberia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-1.0pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
42%
Away Win
42%
-0.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.3pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Ana EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 46%
-45% / -45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.32
-100% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
275 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Ana
2-1
AWAY Municipal Liberia
24% Ball Possession 76%
1 Total Shots 1
1 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Santa Ana vs Municipal Liberia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Ana nicked a narrow win over Municipal Liberia 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Municipal Liberia at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Santa Ana had 24% of the ball to Municipal Liberia's 76%, shots finished 1-1.

What was the final score of Santa Ana vs Municipal Liberia?

Santa Ana 2-1 Municipal Liberia in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Ana vs Municipal Liberia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Municipal Liberia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Santa Ana 30%, draw 29%, Municipal Liberia 42%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Municipal Liberia), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Municipal Liberia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
31 Aug 2024
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