Sporting San Jose 2-3 San Carlos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+3.5pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.4pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+0.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.0pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting San Jose EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY San Carlos EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +16%
1.21/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.04
-5% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting San Jose
2W-3D-1L
AWAY San Carlos
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
22.04.2024 San Carlos San Carlos 0-1 HT 0-1 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
17.02.2024 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 0-2 HT 0-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
01.10.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 2-2 HT 2-1 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
31.07.2023 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 1-0 HT 0-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
15.04.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 1-1 HT 1-1 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
14.02.2023 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 1-1 HT 1-1 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting San Jose
2-3
AWAY San Carlos
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sporting San Jose vs San Carlos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Carlos edged past Sporting San Jose 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 38% — and on the day San Carlos made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Sporting San Jose had 55% of the ball to San Carlos's 45%, shots finished 12-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting San Jose had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sporting San Jose and 1.00 for San Carlos.

What was the final score of Sporting San Jose vs San Carlos?

Sporting San Jose 2-3 San Carlos in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting San Jose vs San Carlos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting San Jose win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sporting San Jose 40%, draw 23%, San Carlos 38%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sporting San Jose) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting San Jose) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
31 Aug 2024
05:00 Santa Ana vs Municipal Liberia Analysis →