Dacia-Buiucani 1-1 CSF Balti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.65
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
44%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
28%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
18%
+12.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
44%
Away Win
58%
-13.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.7pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dacia-Buiucani EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY CSF Balti EU Bookmakers 62%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.00/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.33/1.00
+18% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -26%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
261 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dacia-Buiucani
0W-4D-2L
AWAY CSF Balti
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2024 CSF Balti CSF Balti 0-0 HT 0-0 Dacia-Buiucani MOLD
11.05.2024 CSF Balti CSF Balti 2-2 HT 2-0 Dacia-Buiucani MOLD
07.04.2024 Dacia-Buiucani 1-1 HT 0-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
04.04.2024 Dacia-Buiucani 1-1 HT 1-1 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLDK
02.03.2024 CSF Balti CSF Balti 2-1 HT 0-0 Dacia-Buiucani MOLDK
07.10.2023 Dacia-Buiucani 1-5 HT 1-2 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dacia-Buiucani
1-1
AWAY CSF Balti
41% Ball Possession 59%
3 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dacia-Buiucani vs CSF Balti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dacia-Buiucani and CSF Balti shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was CSF Balti at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Dacia-Buiucani had 41% of the ball to CSF Balti's 59%, shots finished 3-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSF Balti led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dacia-Buiucani and 1.83 for CSF Balti.

What was the final score of Dacia-Buiucani vs CSF Balti?

Dacia-Buiucani 1-1 CSF Balti in the Moldova - National League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dacia-Buiucani vs CSF Balti?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSF Balti win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Dacia-Buiucani 31%, draw 25%, CSF Balti 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CSF Balti), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CSF Balti) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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