Kristiansund BK 2-1 Sandefjord — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.43
2-3 Goals
42%
1.89
4-5 Goals
25%
2.93
6+ Goals
12%
8.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.31
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
10%
12.5
X/1
11%
5.53
X/2
15%
6.05
X/X
9%
5.28
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
24.85
2/2
14%
3.76
2/X
8%
12.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.85 — our 10% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-2.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.8pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kristiansund BK EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandefjord EU Bookmakers 38%
+7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.84/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.15
+30% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +39%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
21.3 Crosses 20.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kristiansund BK
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Sandefjord
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.56 xG 1.25
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
233 Passes 374
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.08.2024 Sandefjord Sandefjord 1-0 HT 0-0 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
04.09.2022 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 3-1 HT 2-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
27.07.2022 Sandefjord Sandefjord 2-0 HT 1-0 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
05.12.2021 Sandefjord Sandefjord 3-2 HT 3-0 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
18.07.2021 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 2-0 HT 0-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
30.08.2020 Sandefjord Sandefjord 0-2 HT 0-1 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kristiansund BK
2-1
AWAY Sandefjord
2.27 xG 1.79
38% Ball Possession 62%
18 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 1
217 Passes 416
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kristiansund BK vs Sandefjord
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kristiansund BK edged past Sandefjord 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Kristiansund BK made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Kristiansund BK had 38% of the ball to Sandefjord's 62%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 2.27 to 1.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kristiansund BK and 1.17 for Sandefjord.

What was the final score of Kristiansund BK vs Sandefjord?

Kristiansund BK 2-1 Sandefjord in the Norway - Eliteserien on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kristiansund BK vs Sandefjord?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kristiansund BK win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Kristiansund BK 37%, draw 27%, Sandefjord 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kristiansund BK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kristiansund BK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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