Sandefjord 1-0 Kristiansund BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.66
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.5
2-3 Goals
41%
2.01
4-5 Goals
24%
2.66
6+ Goals
12%
6.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.11
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.1
X/1
22%
4.31
X/2
7%
9.65
X/X
15%
6.41
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
19.75
2/2
11%
6.33
2/X
8%
14.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.75 — our 8% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
55%
-7.9pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.6pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+1.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.5pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandefjord EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Kristiansund BK EU Bookmakers 26%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
1.73/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.85
-60% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
369 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 74%
29.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
16.9 Crosses 16.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sandefjord
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Kristiansund BK
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.18 xG 1.76
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
334 Passes 237
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.09.2022 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 3-1 HT 2-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
27.07.2022 Sandefjord Sandefjord 2-0 HT 1-0 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
05.12.2021 Sandefjord Sandefjord 3-2 HT 3-0 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
18.07.2021 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 2-0 HT 0-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
30.08.2020 Sandefjord Sandefjord 0-2 HT 0-1 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
29.07.2020 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 3-1 HT 0-1 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sandefjord
1-0
AWAY Kristiansund BK
1.26 xG 0.82
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 4
486 Passes 330
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
32 Box Touches 11
34 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sandefjord vs Kristiansund BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sandefjord squeezed past Kristiansund BK 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sandefjord as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sandefjord had 59% of the ball to Kristiansund BK's 41%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 1.26 to 0.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kristiansund BK led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sandefjord and 2.00 for Kristiansund BK.

What was the final score of Sandefjord vs Kristiansund BK?

Sandefjord 1-0 Kristiansund BK in the Norway - Eliteserien on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandefjord vs Kristiansund BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sandefjord win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sandefjord 47%, draw 29%, Kristiansund BK 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sandefjord) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sandefjord) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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