Molde 3-0 HamKam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 25 Aug 2024

Molde
3-0 HT 1-0
HamKam
📅25/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Molde vs HamKam Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.43
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
25%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.43
Over 2.5
60%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.25
2-3 Goals
39%
1.98
4-5 Goals
28%
2.7
6+ Goals
13%
6.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.72
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
17.3
X/1
22%
3.79
X/2
10%
13.85
X/X
7%
7.11
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
20.2
2/2
9%
9.9
2/X
6%
17.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.2 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
65%
-11.2pp
21%
Draw
19%
+1.2pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+10.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.7pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Molde v HamKam — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Molde EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY HamKam EU Bookmakers 19%
-1% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
2.18/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.78
+29% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
424 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
34.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
19.7 Crosses 18.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.1

Molde vs HamKam Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Molde
4W-2D-0L
AWAY HamKam
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.77 xG 0.71
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
510 Passes 261
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
31 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
07.04.2024 HamKam HamKam 0-1 HT 0-1 Molde Molde NOR
03.12.2023 Molde Molde 1-1 HT 0-1 HamKam HamKam NOR
07.05.2023 HamKam HamKam 0-4 HT 0-1 Molde Molde NOR
09.10.2022 Molde Molde 5-0 HT 4-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
03.07.2022 HamKam HamKam 0-0 HT 0-0 Molde Molde NOR
20.06.2012 Molde Molde 3-2 HT 1-0 HamKam HamKam NOK

Molde 3-0 HamKam — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Molde
3-0
AWAY HamKam
1.63 xG 0.52
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
553 Passes 266
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
38 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Molde vs HamKam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Molde ran out comfortable winners over HamKam 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Molde as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Molde had 64% of the ball to HamKam's 36%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.63 to 0.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Molde had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Molde and 0.50 for HamKam.

What was the final score of Molde vs HamKam?

Molde 3-0 HamKam in the Norway - Eliteserien on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Molde vs HamKam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Molde win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Molde 54%, draw 21%, HamKam 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Molde), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Molde) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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