HamKam 0-1 Molde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 7 Apr 2024

HamKam
0-1 HT 0-1
Molde
📅07/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

HamKam vs Molde Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
4.13
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
44%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.94
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.15
6+ Goals
13%
10.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
7.4
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
21.85
1/X
7%
15.6
X/1
14%
9.9
X/2
15%
3.96
X/X
10%
5.61
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
18%
2.09
2/X
6%
15.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.85 — our 11% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
21%
+12.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
44%
Away Win
55%
-11.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.2pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

HamKam v Molde — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HamKam EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Molde EU Bookmakers 60%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -14%
1.39/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.22
-49% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -12%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
274 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 81%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.1
22.5 Crosses 17.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9

HamKam vs Molde Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HamKam
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Molde
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.75 xG 1.83
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
248 Passes 510
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 30
22 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
03.12.2023 Molde Molde 1-1 HT 0-1 HamKam HamKam NOR
07.05.2023 HamKam HamKam 0-4 HT 0-1 Molde Molde NOR
09.10.2022 Molde Molde 5-0 HT 4-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
03.07.2022 HamKam HamKam 0-0 HT 0-0 Molde Molde NOR
20.06.2012 Molde Molde 3-2 HT 1-0 HamKam HamKam NOK
02.11.2008 HamKam HamKam 0-1 HT 0-1 Molde Molde NOR

HamKam 0-1 Molde — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HamKam
0-1
AWAY Molde
0.54 xG 1.53
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 2
315 Passes 511
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
28 Box Touches 36
26 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH HamKam vs Molde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Molde edged past HamKam 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Molde as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, HamKam had 41% of the ball to Molde's 59%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.54 to 1.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Molde led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for HamKam and 2.33 for Molde.

What was the final score of HamKam vs Molde?

HamKam 0-1 Molde in the Norway - Eliteserien on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HamKam vs Molde?

Before kick-off our model rated an Molde win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split HamKam 33%, draw 23%, Molde 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Molde) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Molde) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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