Stromsgodset 1-0 Rosenborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.82
Over 2.5
59%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.71
6+ Goals
11%
15.55
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.71 — our 28% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.98
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.55
X/1
18%
4.64
X/2
12%
6.57
X/X
10%
4.58
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
26.0
2/2
13%
4.84
2/X
10%
13.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.0 — our 8% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
51%
-10.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
49%
+10.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.5pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stromsgodset EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosenborg EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -11%
1.57/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.31
+2% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
379 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
24.4 Crosses 18.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stromsgodset
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Rosenborg
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.27 xG 1.53
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
286 Passes 378
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.11.2023 Rosenborg Rosenborg 1-3 HT 1-2 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
23.07.2023 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 0-1 HT 0-1 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
15.10.2022 Rosenborg Rosenborg 3-0 HT 2-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
08.05.2022 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 3-0 HT 3-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
12.12.2021 Rosenborg Rosenborg 2-2 HT 0-2 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
13.06.2021 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 2-1 HT 0-1 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stromsgodset
1-0
AWAY Rosenborg
0.73 xG 0.83
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 10
247 Passes 517
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 38
15 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stromsgodset vs Rosenborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stromsgodset squeezed past Rosenborg 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Stromsgodset as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stromsgodset had 35% of the ball to Rosenborg's 65%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 0.73 to 0.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stromsgodset had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Stromsgodset and 1.33 for Rosenborg.

What was the final score of Stromsgodset vs Rosenborg?

Stromsgodset 1-0 Rosenborg in the Norway - Eliteserien on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stromsgodset vs Rosenborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stromsgodset win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Stromsgodset 43%, draw 27%, Rosenborg 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stromsgodset) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stromsgodset) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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