Brann 0-2 Fredrikstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 7 Apr 2024

Brann
0-2 HT 0-1
Fredrikstad
📅07/04/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Brann vs Fredrikstad Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.23
Over 2.5
63%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.82
No
43%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
4.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
28%
2.87
6+ Goals
15%
8.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.65
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
19.1
X/1
15%
3.59
X/2
7%
15.3
X/X
7%
7.02
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.45
2/2
8%
11.7
2/X
8%
19.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.45 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
67%
-9.6pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.0pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+6.7pp
37%
Under 2.5
41%
-3.7pp
63%
Over 2.5
59%
+3.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.9pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brann v Fredrikstad — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brann EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 16%
-5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.93/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/2.05
-15% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +16%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
371 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 69%
37.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
22.3 Crosses –
1.2 Yellow Cards –

Brann vs Fredrikstad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brann
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Fredrikstad
3.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
22.10.2022 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-3 HT 0-1 Brann Brann NOR1
30.06.2022 Brann Brann 6-0 HT 2-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOK
21.05.2022 Brann Brann 3-0 HT 1-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
14.09.2015 Brann Brann 5-1 HT 4-1 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
06.04.2015 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-1 HT 0-1 Brann Brann NOR1
22.10.2012 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 3-4 HT 2-3 Brann Brann NOR

Brann 0-2 Fredrikstad — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brann
0-2
AWAY Fredrikstad
1.66 xG 1.11
79% Ball Possession 21%
22 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
14 Corners 2
603 Passes 78
84% Pass Accuracy 39%
62 Box Touches 18
40 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Brann vs Fredrikstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fredrikstad saw off Brann 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Brann at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brann had 79% of the ball to Fredrikstad's 21%, shots finished 22-6, expected goals 1.66 to 1.11 — the balance of chances actually favoured Brann.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brann had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.67 goals for Brann and 1.00 for Fredrikstad.

What was the final score of Brann vs Fredrikstad?

Brann 0-2 Fredrikstad in the Norway - Eliteserien on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brann vs Fredrikstad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brann win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Brann 57%, draw 23%, Fredrikstad 20%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Brann) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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