Sarpsborg 08 0-1 Odds BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.23
Over 2.5
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.66
2-3 Goals
34%
1.91
4-5 Goals
32%
2.86
6+ Goals
14%
8.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.21
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.65
X/1
11%
4.32
X/2
12%
9.18
X/X
12%
5.76
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.0
2/2
6%
6.3
2/X
8%
14.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.0 — our 8% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.2pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.2pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sarpsborg 08 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Odds BK EU Bookmakers 26%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +15%
1.94/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.29
+17% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
375 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
29.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
24.4 Crosses 15.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sarpsborg 08
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Odds BK
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.72 xG 0.96
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
415 Passes 375
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 24
23 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2023 Odds BK Odds BK 0-3 HT 0-1 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
07.06.2023 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 3-1 HT 2-0 Odds BK Odds BK NOK
23.04.2023 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 0-0 HT 0-0 Odds BK Odds BK NOR
20.08.2022 Odds BK Odds BK 1-0 HT 1-0 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
07.05.2022 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 1-0 HT 0-0 Odds BK Odds BK NOR
21.11.2021 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 1-1 HT 0-0 Odds BK Odds BK NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sarpsborg 08
0-1
AWAY Odds BK
1.71 xG 2.13
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
437 Passes 194
81% Pass Accuracy 68%
37 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sarpsborg 08 vs Odds BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Odds BK edged past Sarpsborg 08 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Sarpsborg 08 at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sarpsborg 08 had 65% of the ball to Odds BK's 35%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 1.71 to 2.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sarpsborg 08 had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sarpsborg 08 and 0.50 for Odds BK.

What was the final score of Sarpsborg 08 vs Odds BK?

Sarpsborg 08 0-1 Odds BK in the Norway - Eliteserien on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sarpsborg 08 vs Odds BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sarpsborg 08 win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sarpsborg 08 51%, draw 26%, Odds BK 23%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sarpsborg 08) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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