Haugesund 0-2 Lilleström — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 7 Apr 2024

Haugesund
0-2 HT 0-2
Lilleström
📅07/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Haugesund vs Lilleström Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.19
2-3 Goals
35%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.68
6+ Goals
10%
15.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 30% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.24
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
10%
5.99
X/2
11%
5.02
X/X
16%
4.54
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
18%
3.32
2/X
6%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.6pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Haugesund v Lilleström — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haugesund EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Lilleström EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +18%
1.10/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.16
-7% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 75%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
18.7 Crosses 26.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.4

Haugesund vs Lilleström Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haugesund
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Lilleström
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.85 xG 1.46
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
281 Passes 303
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.11.2023 Lilleström Lilleström 1-0 HT 0-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
23.07.2023 Haugesund Haugesund 1-0 HT 0-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
23.10.2022 Haugesund Haugesund 0-1 HT 0-1 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
24.04.2022 Lilleström Lilleström 1-0 HT 0-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
22.08.2021 Haugesund Haugesund 0-3 HT 0-2 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
13.06.2021 Lilleström Lilleström 2-1 HT 2-1 Haugesund Haugesund NOR

Haugesund 0-2 Lilleström — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haugesund
0-2
AWAY Lilleström
0.12 xG 1.30
50% Ball Possession 50%
3 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
363 Passes 361
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
9 Box Touches 34
9 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Haugesund vs Lilleström
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lilleström saw off Haugesund 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Lilleström found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Haugesund had 50% of the ball to Lilleström's 50%, shots finished 3-15, expected goals 0.12 to 1.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lilleström led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Haugesund and 1.33 for Lilleström.

What was the final score of Haugesund vs Lilleström?

Haugesund 0-2 Lilleström in the Norway - Eliteserien on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haugesund vs Lilleström?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lilleström win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Haugesund 35%, draw 28%, Lilleström 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lilleström), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lilleström) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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