Viking 5-2 Stromsgodset — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.89
Over 2.5
59%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.43
No
42%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.79
2-3 Goals
40%
2.16
4-5 Goals
27%
2.48
6+ Goals
14%
5.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.06
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
4%
14.0
X/1
14%
4.44
X/2
7%
9.95
X/X
13%
6.97
2/1
7%
18.75
2/2
11%
6.11
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
14.2
Value flag · 2/X at 14.2 — our 10% vs market 4.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-6.6pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.8pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+1.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
31%
+9.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
69%
-9.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
66%
-7.4pp
42%
BTTS No
34%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viking EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Stromsgodset EU Bookmakers 26%
-4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +8%
1.75/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.65
+12% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 70%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
22.6 Crosses 16.6
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viking
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Stromsgodset
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.72 xG 1.15
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
406 Passes 280
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
31 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 0-1 HT 0-0 Viking Viking NOR
29.10.2023 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 1-0 HT 1-0 Viking Viking NOR
07.05.2023 Viking Viking 1-1 HT 0-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
28.05.2022 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 3-2 HT 1-1 Viking Viking NOR
12.05.2022 Viking Viking 0-0 HT 0-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
17.10.2021 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 0-1 HT 0-1 Viking Viking NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viking
5-2
AWAY Stromsgodset
4.64 xG 0.59
60% Ball Possession 40%
29 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
398 Passes 249
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
52 Box Touches 14
36 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Viking vs Stromsgodset
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viking ran out comfortable winners over Stromsgodset 5-2. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Viking as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Viking had 60% of the ball to Stromsgodset's 40%, shots finished 29-8, expected goals 4.64 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Viking and 0.83 for Stromsgodset.

What was the final score of Viking vs Stromsgodset?

Viking 5-2 Stromsgodset in the Norway - Eliteserien on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viking vs Stromsgodset?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viking win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Viking 49%, draw 27%, Stromsgodset 24%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viking), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Viking) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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