Stromsgodset 0-1 Viking — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.33
Over 2.5
54%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.46
No
39%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.06
2-3 Goals
38%
1.96
4-5 Goals
28%
2.74
6+ Goals
11%
7.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.1
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
27.0
1/X
8%
11.8
X/1
13%
5.56
X/2
13%
6.63
X/X
11%
5.36
2/1
8%
23.6
2/2
14%
3.97
2/X
9%
11.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 27.0 — our 9% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.6pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+3.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
39%
+6.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
61%
-6.8pp
61%
BTTS Yes
64%
-3.7pp
39%
BTTS No
36%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stromsgodset EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Viking EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +9%
1.50/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.33
-10% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
354 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 78%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
21.4 Crosses 18.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stromsgodset
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Viking
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.11 xG 1.80
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
260 Passes 392
69% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 33
14 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.10.2023 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 1-0 HT 1-0 Viking Viking NOR
07.05.2023 Viking Viking 1-1 HT 0-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
28.05.2022 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 3-2 HT 1-1 Viking Viking NOR
12.05.2022 Viking Viking 0-0 HT 0-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
17.10.2021 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 0-1 HT 0-1 Viking Viking NOR
10.07.2021 Viking Viking 1-1 HT 0-1 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stromsgodset
0-1
AWAY Viking
0.97 xG 0.80
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
307 Passes 372
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 15
29 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stromsgodset vs Viking
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viking edged past Stromsgodset 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Viking found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stromsgodset had 46% of the ball to Viking's 54%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 0.97 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stromsgodset had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stromsgodset and 0.83 for Viking.

What was the final score of Stromsgodset vs Viking?

Stromsgodset 0-1 Viking in the Norway - Eliteserien on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stromsgodset vs Viking?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stromsgodset win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Stromsgodset 36%, draw 28%, Viking 36%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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