Tromsö 4-0 Odds BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.76
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
21%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
3.76
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.24
6+ Goals
11%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 23% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.33
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.2
X/1
16%
4.17
X/2
7%
8.52
X/X
17%
5.28
2/1
8%
22.7
2/2
7%
6.29
2/X
7%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-2.5pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.4pp
21%
Away Win
24%
-2.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tromsö EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Odds BK EU Bookmakers 27%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +15%
1.55/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.29
-34% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
361 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
20.1 Crosses 15.7
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tromsö
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Odds BK
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.32 xG 0.68
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
406 Passes 496
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
27 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 Odds BK Odds BK 1-2 HT 0-1 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
07.05.2023 Tromsö Tromsö 0-1 HT 0-0 Odds BK Odds BK NOR
15.10.2022 Tromsö Tromsö 3-2 HT 1-1 Odds BK Odds BK NOR
03.04.2022 Odds BK Odds BK 2-0 HT 1-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
27.10.2021 Tromsö Tromsö 2-0 HT 0-0 Odds BK Odds BK NOR
24.06.2021 Odds BK Odds BK 3-0 HT 1-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tromsö
4-0
AWAY Odds BK
2.26 xG 0.40
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
489 Passes 505
88% Pass Accuracy 86%
44 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 7
POST-MATCH Tromsö vs Odds BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tromsö swept aside Odds BK 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tromsö as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Tromsö had 49% of the ball to Odds BK's 51%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 2.26 to 0.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Tromsö and 1.50 for Odds BK.

What was the final score of Tromsö vs Odds BK?

Tromsö 4-0 Odds BK in the Norway - Eliteserien on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tromsö vs Odds BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tromsö win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Tromsö 50%, draw 29%, Odds BK 21%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tromsö), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tromsö) ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR More Norway - Eliteserien
12 May 2024
15:30 Kristiansund BK vs Bodo/Glimt Analysis →
18:00 Sandefjord vs Sarpsborg 08 Analysis →
18:00 Stromsgodset vs Viking Analysis →
18:00 KFUM Oslo vs Fredrikstad Analysis →
20:15 Lilleström vs Brann Analysis →