Kristiansund BK 2-4 Bodo/Glimt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 12 May 2024

Kristiansund BK
2-4 HT 1-1
Bodo/Glimt
📅12/05/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Kristiansund BK vs Bodo/Glimt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
5.09
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
51%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.59
Over 2.5
63%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.69
2-3 Goals
37%
2.03
4-5 Goals
28%
2.62
6+ Goals
15%
6.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
13%
8.79
1/2
8%
19.3
1/X
7%
17.15
X/1
8%
12.8
X/2
23%
3.87
X/X
6%
7.37
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
21%
1.76
2/X
8%
17.0
Value flag · 1/1 at 8.79 — our 13% vs market 7.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
16%
+11.2pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.7pp
51%
Away Win
64%
-12.9pp
37%
Under 2.5
35%
+2.7pp
63%
Over 2.5
65%
-2.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.2pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kristiansund BK v Bodo/Glimt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kristiansund BK EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Bodo/Glimt EU Bookmakers 69%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +7%
1.10/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.10/1.10
+41% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / +19%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
278 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 428 · 83%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37.3
19.9 Crosses 18.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.6

Kristiansund BK vs Bodo/Glimt Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kristiansund BK
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Bodo/Glimt
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.23 xG 2.31
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
210 Passes 467
73% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 34
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.10.2022 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 5-0 HT 2-0 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
18.06.2022 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 0-2 HT 0-0 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOR
22.08.2021 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 3-0 HT 0-0 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
12.05.2021 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 0-2 HT 0-1 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOR
01.11.2020 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 2-3 HT 1-2 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOR
15.07.2020 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 2-1 HT 0-1 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
POST-MATCH Kristiansund BK vs Bodo/Glimt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bodo/Glimt beat Kristiansund BK 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bodo/Glimt as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bodo/Glimt led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kristiansund BK and 2.83 for Bodo/Glimt.

What was the final score of Kristiansund BK vs Bodo/Glimt?

Kristiansund BK 2-4 Bodo/Glimt in the Norway - Eliteserien on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kristiansund BK vs Bodo/Glimt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bodo/Glimt win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Kristiansund BK 28%, draw 21%, Bodo/Glimt 51%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bodo/Glimt), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bodo/Glimt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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