Lilleström 0-2 Brann — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 12 May 2024

Lilleström
0-2 HT 0-0
Brann
📅12/05/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Lilleström vs Brann Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.16
2-3 Goals
44%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
3.04
6+ Goals
12%
9.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.78
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
23.15
1/X
9%
12.9
X/1
6%
7.14
X/2
18%
4.85
X/X
10%
5.14
2/1
5%
32.0
2/2
18%
2.78
2/X
7%
12.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.15 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
+0.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-0.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.9pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lilleström v Brann — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lilleström EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Brann EU Bookmakers 49%
-10% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
0.94/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.39
-45% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -16%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 82%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.9
19.5 Crosses 18.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.3

Lilleström vs Brann Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lilleström
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Brann
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.07 xG 1.94
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
304 Passes 310
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.10.2023 Lilleström Lilleström 0-2 HT 0-1 Brann Brann NOR
11.06.2023 Brann Brann 2-2 HT 0-1 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
20.05.2023 Brann Brann 2-0 HT 1-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOK
11.09.2021 Lilleström Lilleström 2-3 HT 0-1 Brann Brann NOR
30.06.2021 Brann Brann 1-1 HT 0-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
01.09.2019 Lilleström Lilleström 1-3 HT 1-2 Brann Brann NOR

Lilleström 0-2 Brann — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lilleström
0-2
AWAY Brann
0.91 xG 1.43
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 15
0 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
235 Passes 445
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 32
23 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lilleström vs Brann
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brann saw off Lilleström 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Brann as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lilleström had 39% of the ball to Brann's 61%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 0.91 to 1.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brann led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lilleström and 2.17 for Brann.

What was the final score of Lilleström vs Brann?

Lilleström 0-2 Brann in the Norway - Eliteserien on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lilleström vs Brann?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brann win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Lilleström 30%, draw 26%, Brann 44%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brann) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brann) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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