KFUM Oslo 1-4 Fredrikstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.59
Over 2.5
50%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.96
No
45%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.44
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
4.87
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.14
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
10%
14.5
X/1
10%
5.35
X/2
6%
5.02
X/X
14%
3.93
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
34.5
2/2
24%
3.8
2/X
6%
14.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.5 — our 9% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
+0.2pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
59%
-8.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
41%
+8.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.9pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KFUM Oslo EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 40%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +27%
1.47/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.00
-30% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 78%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
25.5 Crosses 19.0
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KFUM Oslo
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Fredrikstad
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.08.2023 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 2-1 HT 1-1 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
16.05.2023 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-0 HT 1-0 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo NOR1
22.08.2022 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 2-1 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
26.05.2022 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-2 HT 1-0 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo NOR1
06.12.2021 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 3-3 HT 0-2 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo NOR1
15.09.2021 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 2-1 HT 1-1 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KFUM Oslo
1-4
AWAY Fredrikstad
1.05 xG 0.91
61% Ball Possession 39%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
379 Passes 215
73% Pass Accuracy 64%
11 Box Touches 11
15 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH KFUM Oslo vs Fredrikstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fredrikstad cruised past KFUM Oslo 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Fredrikstad made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, KFUM Oslo had 61% of the ball to Fredrikstad's 39%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 1.05 to 0.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KFUM Oslo had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for KFUM Oslo and 1.33 for Fredrikstad.

What was the final score of KFUM Oslo vs Fredrikstad?

KFUM Oslo 1-4 Fredrikstad in the Norway - Eliteserien on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KFUM Oslo vs Fredrikstad?

Before kick-off our model rated a KFUM Oslo win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split KFUM Oslo 35%, draw 30%, Fredrikstad 35%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ BTTS Yes
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