Lilleström 0-1 Tromsö — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.22
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.66
6+ Goals
12%
15.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 28% vs market 25.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.98
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
9%
12.55
X/1
13%
4.81
X/2
9%
6.91
X/X
11%
4.36
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
16%
4.99
2/X
6%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+5.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.3pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lilleström EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Tromsö EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +22%
1.48/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.36
-7% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +36%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
360 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 75%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
22.7 Crosses 14.3
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lilleström
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Tromsö
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.85 xG 1.07
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
417 Passes 404
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.06.2024 Tromsö Tromsö 1-2 HT 0-1 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
06.08.2023 Tromsö Tromsö 3-1 HT 0-1 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
02.07.2023 Lilleström Lilleström 0-1 HT 0-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
19.03.2023 Tromsö Tromsö 2-3 HT 1-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOK
07.08.2022 Lilleström Lilleström 1-1 HT 0-1 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
29.05.2022 Tromsö Tromsö 2-2 HT 1-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lilleström
0-1
AWAY Tromsö
1.96 xG 0.34
71% Ball Possession 29%
18 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 0
546 Passes 191
86% Pass Accuracy 70%
30 Box Touches 10
49 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lilleström vs Tromsö
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tromsö squeezed past Lilleström 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Tromsö found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Lilleström had 71% of the ball to Tromsö's 29%, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 1.96 to 0.34 — on chances, Lilleström could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lilleström and 1.67 for Tromsö.

What was the final score of Lilleström vs Tromsö?

Lilleström 0-1 Tromsö in the Norway - Eliteserien on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lilleström vs Tromsö?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lilleström win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lilleström 40%, draw 26%, Tromsö 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lilleström) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lilleström) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR More Norway - Eliteserien
25 Aug 2024
18:00 Sandefjord vs Kristiansund BK Analysis →
18:00 Haugesund vs Fredrikstad Analysis →
18:00 Molde vs HamKam Analysis →
18:00 Viking vs Stromsgodset Analysis →
20:15 Odds BK vs Rosenborg Analysis →