Haugesund 1-0 Fredrikstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.13
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.75
6+ Goals
8%
15.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 29% vs market 26.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.18
1/2
9%
28.5
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
16%
5.97
X/2
10%
5.22
X/X
14%
4.33
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
16%
3.46
2/X
6%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+2.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-2.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haugesund EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 42%
-5% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
1.05/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.03
-24% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +90% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
299 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 73%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
19.3 Crosses 13.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haugesund
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Fredrikstad
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.11 xG 2.44
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 6
399 Passes 401
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 37
11 Crosses 36
1 Yellow Cards 0
14.08.2024 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-0 HT 0-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
07.10.2012 Haugesund Haugesund 1-0 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
13.05.2012 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 0-0 HT 0-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
16.10.2011 Haugesund Haugesund 3-2 HT 2-2 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
29.06.2011 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-0 HT 0-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haugesund
1-0
AWAY Fredrikstad
0.98 xG 0.58
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
417 Passes 220
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
28 Box Touches 21
27 Crosses 19
POST-MATCH Haugesund vs Fredrikstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haugesund squeezed past Fredrikstad 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Haugesund made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Haugesund had 62% of the ball to Fredrikstad's 38%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.98 to 0.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Haugesund and 0.80 for Fredrikstad.

What was the final score of Haugesund vs Fredrikstad?

Haugesund 1-0 Fredrikstad in the Norway - Eliteserien on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haugesund vs Fredrikstad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Haugesund win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Haugesund 37%, draw 28%, Fredrikstad 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Haugesund), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Haugesund) ✓ Under 2.5
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