CFR Cluj 2-1 CSMS Iaşi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.82
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.21
6+ Goals
12%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-6.6pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.2pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+6.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.4pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CFR Cluj EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY CSMS Iaşi EU Bookmakers 16%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +14%
1.74/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.38
+9% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
409 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 70%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
26.6 Crosses 8.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CFR Cluj
3W-1D-2L
AWAY CSMS Iaşi
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2023 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 3-3 HT 2-3 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj ROM
15.07.2023 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj 2-0 HT 1-0 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
14.03.2021 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj 4-0 HT 2-0 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
06.12.2020 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 0-2 HT 0-1 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj ROM
29.11.2020 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 1-0 HT 0-0 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj ROK
28.10.2019 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 2-1 HT 1-1 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CFR Cluj
2-1
AWAY CSMS Iaşi
0.77 xG 1.40
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
237 Passes 364
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 15
11 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH CFR Cluj vs CSMS Iaşi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CFR Cluj nicked a narrow win over CSMS Iaşi 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had CFR Cluj as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, CFR Cluj had 43% of the ball to CSMS Iaşi's 57%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 0.77 to 1.40 — on chances, CSMS Iaşi could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CFR Cluj had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for CFR Cluj and 1.00 for CSMS Iaşi.

What was the final score of CFR Cluj vs CSMS Iaşi?

CFR Cluj 2-1 CSMS Iaşi in the Romania - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CFR Cluj vs CSMS Iaşi?

Before kick-off our model rated a CFR Cluj win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split CFR Cluj 60%, draw 21%, CSMS Iaşi 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CFR Cluj), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CFR Cluj) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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