Otelul Galati 1-1 Universitatea Craiova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.17
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.74
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.28
6+ Goals
8%
21.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 32% vs market 30.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
28%
+8.2pp
26%
Draw
31%
-4.8pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.8pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Otelul Galati EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitatea Craiova EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +10%
2.72/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/0.44
-9% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -13%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
260 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 74%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
11.0 Crosses 13.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Otelul Galati
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Universitatea Craiova
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.04.2024 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 0-1 HT 0-0 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati ROK
26.11.2023 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati 1-3 HT 1-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
24.07.2023 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 0-0 HT 0-0 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati ROM
04.04.2015 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati 0-1 HT 0-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
15.09.2014 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 1-0 HT 0-0 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati ROM
05.05.2011 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati 2-1 HT 2-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Otelul Galati
1-1
AWAY Universitatea Craiova
0.99 xG 0.99
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
252 Passes 227
69% Pass Accuracy 65%
20 Box Touches 12
28 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Otelul Galati vs Universitatea Craiova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Otelul Galati and Universitatea Craiova shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Otelul Galati had 52% of the ball to Universitatea Craiova's 48%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.99 to 0.99.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitatea Craiova led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Otelul Galati and 1.00 for Universitatea Craiova.

What was the final score of Otelul Galati vs Universitatea Craiova?

Otelul Galati 1-1 Universitatea Craiova in the Romania - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Otelul Galati vs Universitatea Craiova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Universitatea Craiova win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Otelul Galati 36%, draw 26%, Universitatea Craiova 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Universitatea Craiova), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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