Ergene Velimeşe 1-2 Bulvarspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 1.Grup, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-1.6pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.3pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.8pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ergene Velimeşe EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Bulvarspor EU Bookmakers 30%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+120% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ergene Velimeşe
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Bulvarspor
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
24.03.2024 Ergene Velimeşe Ergene Velimeşe 0-0 HT 0-0 Bulvarspor Bulvarspor S3-2
12.11.2023 Bulvarspor Bulvarspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Ergene Velimeşe Ergene Velimeşe S3-2
20.05.2023 Ergene Velimeşe Ergene Velimeşe 0-1 HT 0-0 Bulvarspor Bulvarspor S3-2
17.12.2022 Bulvarspor Bulvarspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Ergene Velimeşe Ergene Velimeşe S3-2
POST-MATCH Ergene Velimeşe vs Bulvarspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bulvarspor edged past Ergene Velimeşe 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ergene Velimeşe at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ergene Velimeşe and 0.50 for Bulvarspor.

What was the final score of Ergene Velimeşe vs Bulvarspor?

Ergene Velimeşe 1-2 Bulvarspor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 1.Grup on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ergene Velimeşe vs Bulvarspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ergene Velimeşe win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ergene Velimeşe 45%, draw 23%, Bulvarspor 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ergene Velimeşe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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