Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1-0 23 Elazığ Futbol Kulübü — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 1.Grup, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.13
No
63%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.0pp
37%
BTTS Yes
43%
-6.3pp
63%
BTTS No
57%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokat Bld Plevnespor EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY 23 Elazığ Futbol Kulübü EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
275 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokat Bld Plevnespor
1W-0D-1L
AWAY 23 Elazığ Futbol Kulübü
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
28.01.2024 23 Elazığ Futbol Kulübü 23 Elazığ Futbol Kulübü 3-2 HT 0-1 Tokat Bld Plevnespor Tokat Bld Plevnespor S3-4
17.09.2023 Tokat Bld Plevnespor Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1-0 HT 1-0 23 Elazığ Futbol Kulübü 23 Elazığ Futbol Kulübü S3-4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokat Bld Plevnespor
1-0
AWAY 23 Elazığ Futbol Kulübü
57% Ball Possession 43%
4 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs 23 Elazığ Futbol Kulübü
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokat Bld Plevnespor squeezed past 23 Elazığ Futbol Kulübü 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tokat Bld Plevnespor as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, Tokat Bld Plevnespor had 57% of the ball to 23 Elazığ Futbol Kulübü's 43%, shots finished 4-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tokat Bld Plevnespor and 1.50 for 23 Elazığ Futbol Kulübü.

What was the final score of Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs 23 Elazığ Futbol Kulübü?

Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1-0 23 Elazığ Futbol Kulübü in the Turkey - 3rd Division 1.Grup on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs 23 Elazığ Futbol Kulübü?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokat Bld Plevnespor win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Tokat Bld Plevnespor 49%, draw 26%, 23 Elazığ Futbol Kulübü 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tokat Bld Plevnespor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tokat Bld Plevnespor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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